Real-time win probabilities for rugby union and rugby league — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped. Powered by the SkipOdds API.
Union & league, de-vigged and refreshed continuously — internationals lead the board
| Match | Fair win probability | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No priced matches right now — the next round populates automatically. | |||
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. ScrumSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match — three fair numbers when the books price the draw, two when they don't.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds Index — the same engine behind:
