Real-time win probabilities for rugby union and rugby league — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped. Powered by the SkipOdds API.
Union & league · 23 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously — internationals lead the board
| Match | Fair win probability | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRL Brisbane Broncos v Melbourne Storm 2026-08-27 09:50 UTC · draw 4.5% |
49.5% | 46.0% | 4.5% |
| NRL Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v St George Illawarra Dragons 2026-08-28 08:00 UTC · draw 3.9% |
64.6% | 31.6% | 3.9% |
| NRL Penrith Panthers v Canterbury Bulldogs 2026-08-28 10:00 UTC · draw 4.0% |
66.6% | 29.5% | 4.0% |
| NRL Gold Coast Titans v South Sydney Rabbitohs 2026-08-29 05:00 UTC · draw 3.8% |
31.9% | 64.3% | 3.8% |
| NRL Sydney Roosters v Dolphins 2026-08-29 07:30 UTC · draw 4.2% |
58.4% | 37.4% | 4.2% |
| NRL North Queensland Cowboys v Wests Tigers 2026-08-29 09:35 UTC · draw 3.3% |
72.7% | 23.9% | 3.3% |
| NRL New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights 2026-08-30 04:00 UTC · draw 3.9% |
65.2% | 30.9% | 3.9% |
| NRL Parramatta Eels v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 2026-08-30 06:05 UTC · draw 3.9% |
33.3% | 62.8% | 3.9% |
| NRL Sydney Roosters v Wests Tigers |
24–25 Final |
| NRL Gold Coast Titans v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks |
22–30 Final |
| NRL St George Illawarra Dragons v Canterbury Bulldogs |
14–44 Final |
| NRL South Sydney Rabbitohs v New Zealand Warriors |
26–45 Final |
| NRL Newcastle Knights v Manly Warringah Sea Eagles |
24–44 Final |
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. ScrumSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match — three fair numbers when the books price the draw, two when they don't.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds API — the same engine behind:
curl "https://skipodds.com/v1/rugby/fixtures?api_key=skipodds-demo-2026"
Or skip the code entirely — the free widget drops this exact board into any page with two lines:
<div data-skipodds data-sport="rugby" data-limit="5"></div> <script async src="https://skipodds.com/widget.js"></script>
The demo key serves 100 requests/day. Full reference
