Real-time win probabilities for rugby union and rugby league — every bookmaker price averaged, the margin stripped. Powered by the SkipOdds API.
Union & league · 25 bookmakers, de-vigged and refreshed continuously — internationals lead the board
| Match | Fair win probability | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NRL New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights 2026-09-16 02:00 UTC |
65.6% | 34.4% | — |
| NRL Sydney Roosters v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 2026-09-19 09:50 UTC · draw 4.5% |
63.3% | 32.2% | 4.5% |
| NRL New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights 2026-09-20 06:05 UTC · draw 4.5% |
61.3% | 34.2% | 4.5% |
| NRL Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters |
19–12 Final |
Match-winner odds overstate every outcome — the bookmaker margin ("vig") is baked in, so the implied probabilities sum to more than 100%. ScrumSeek averages the surveyed prices per outcome and removes that margin, leaving the SkipOdds Index: the market's honest opinion of the match — three fair numbers when the books price the draw, two when they don't.
Every number on this page is served by the SkipOdds API — the same engine behind:
curl "https://skipodds.com/v1/rugby/fixtures?api_key=skipodds-demo-2026"
Or skip the code entirely — the free widget drops this exact board into any page with two lines:
<div data-skipodds data-sport="rugby" data-limit="5"></div> <script async src="https://skipodds.com/widget.js"></script>
The demo key serves 100 requests/day. Full reference
